Showing posts with label Stock Screener. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Stock Screener. Show all posts

Saturday, May 28, 2011

Investing word of the day: Undervalued



I have been talking about APF Trading's Expert Stock Screener and I pointed out the importance of undervalued stock. What does undervalued mean anyways?

I am reading RLC's Amended 17-Q(click here to view report) and I quote the following:



III. Financial Resources and Liquidity
Receivables went down by 40% due to collection of receivable from JGSHI. Subdivision Land and Condominium and Residential Units increased by 9% to P6.8 billion due to higher level of project completion. Accounts payable and accrued expenses increased by 4% mainly due to accrued interest payable on the P=15.0 billion loans. As of December 31, 2010, total assets of the Company stood at P54.3 billion while total equity amounted to P28.8 billion. RLC’s financial position remains solid, with a financial debt to equity ratio of 0.52:1 as of December 31, 2010 and 0.54:1 as of September 30, 2010 while cash stood at P7.6 billion and P5.5 billion as of December 31, 2010 and September 30, 2010, respectively. Earnings per share for the first three months amounted to P0.37 per share. Net book value excluding minority interest in consolidated subsidiary stood at P10.45 per share as of December 31, 2010 compared to P10.08 per share as of September 30, 2010.

I highlighted the last sentence to point out what undervalued means. If you see EPS or Earnings Per Share stands at P0.37 which brings Net Book Value to P10.45. Comparing Net Book Value to Market price which is at P12.40. The P2.00 difference is not that big but based on analysts consensus this stock should be valued P15.00

Now you see why RLC is seen by analysts as undervalued. It lies mostly on what we call perceived value

What is Perceived Value

Perceived value is the real value an investor sees on the stock. This means factoring future profitability on a stock. When we factor in future earnings of a company the book value per share of the stock increases. But according to law a company should not accumulate all its earnings unless it has specifically allotted such for project expansions, repayment of a debt, and others that would greatly benefit the company. 

The distribution of earnings which is called dividends is a way of sharing what the company earns to its investors. It is a return of investment. That is why you and me invest in a company because of the return of investment.


When a company has the capability to deliver steady returns investors and traders are interested on it and thus buy such stock. When a stock has price action meaning its price is moving up or down and demand for such rises as evidence by the volume of transactions it will soon go up based on the law of supply and demand.


When buying stock we buy when the stock's price is low or other put it us bottom price so that we can profit when it starts to go up.



That is what we call undervalued. A stock whose perceived value is above its current price. I know you have a lot of question and one of them would be how on earth will I know that a stock is undervalued?

Well I really don't have a exact answer for that, many use the P/E ratio to determine if a stock is undervalued, that is if P/E ratio is 10 and below it is undervalued but you can use my model comparing EPS, BV, and Market Price to determine if it is undervalued or overvalued. You can also use the tool  from APF Trading, Expert Stock Screener, which collates the various research of leading analyst.


It could be a lot of work but it pays. Once you get the whole idea and the psychology of investing you will soon do stock picking so simple that you don't have to spend a lot of time researching because your past experience has sharpen your mind. 


So for now ask and learn, then try in small portions, and when you are brave enough try it big time. But remember the rule: Invest at your own risk. Don't blame me, the debt crisis in Europe, the Arab conflict, the rising price of oil, the low rating of Pnoy, the rumor your neighbor heard from the tricycle driver in the intersection of your barangay and the barangay of the adjacent town and other excuses. 

It's your call. Get undervalued stocks, accumulate and cost average if you have to, and sell when stock prices reaches your target price. 

Saturday, May 21, 2011

How to use APF Trading's Expert Stock Screener


In my previous post I introduce you to some tools that you can use in your stock picking and one of them is APF Trading's Expert Stock Screener.(Click here for a sample of Expert Stock Screener)

Basically it is the condensed report of some listed stock of a certain stock market(I'll be using The Philippine Stock Exchange as my example) based on reports and analysis of various broker and analyst taking into consideration both fundamental and technical analysis. 

So how do really use this tool anyways?

First of all it is a report in an excel format thus where there is excel this is a filter function. In the far right of the report there is a column with a heading of ALIGNMENT. Click the dropdown arrow and unmark everything and then mark "YES" to filter stocks with an alignment status meaning the Fundamental and Technical analysis aligned as per APF Tradings criteria.

Then from the filtered list you can chose which stocks to pick up for a buy or for a sell. You can further filter the selection by adding another filter.

You can either use the FAIR VALUE DEVIATION as your criteria of a buy consideration. The stock with the highest value means that the various analyst value the stock higher than its current price. What does this mean. Let use FPH(First Philippine Holdings) as an example. FPH has price on May 20, 2011 at 63.75 pesos/share with a FV deviation of 46% this means that the analyst has a target price of 93.075 pesos/share. This is the fundamental side of the analysis. Various analyst have different criteria and methods of determining Target Price but it all boils down to the company's financials taking into consideration future cashflows anf profitability.

After determining the Target Price the next question one has is when to buy FPH. This is a hard question to answer because remember the truth about the stock market:NOBODY CAN ACCURATE PREDICT WHEN WILL THE STOCK BE UP OR DOWN ONLY A PROBABLE TREND CAN BE MADE.
With that in mind one can turn to the Technical analysis columns DAILY, WEEKLY, and MONTHLY. These columns indicate the bullishness of the stock(when it is positive) or bearishness(when it is negative) On this columns we can make to guidelines. 

1. Buy when the stock is at its bottom and about to go north
2. Sell once the stock's price starts to fall

The two above rule are basics of the Demand and Supply Law.

It is a common mistake of small and newbie investors to buy when the stock has already gone halfway its upward trend as well as when the stock is still going down. Though it is always a premise that there is no wrong timing in the stock market it could have been profitable when you are able to buy the stock at a very cheap price and sell it at a high price. 

By comparing the Daily, Weekly, and Monthly bullishness indicator you can determine where is the start of the stocks upward price point; that is the point in which you start to accumulate until it goes up more and breakout from its resistance level. 
I guess those are the basics in using APF Trading's Expert Stock Screener. If you are interested or want to learn more about APF Trading Expert Stock Screener click here


Tuesday, April 26, 2011

Some tools that might be of use to you

Currently there are two tools I have placed in my TOOLS tab above. One is an Excel file I created to aid the computation of  TP or Target Price if you want to achieve a certain percentage of gain or profit(this is based on COL and FMS rates only). The other is a paid service that sends you the combined analysis of most stock analyst and aligning fundamental and technical analysis.

The Stock Computation Tool (click here to download)

This Excel file is designed to generate an estimated target selling price. All you need is to plug in the number of shares purchased, its cost and the desired gain when selling. The rates for the different charges are based on the rates applied by most online stockbroker participating in the Philippine Stock Exchange. 




This tool is a service provided by APF Trading. The latest analysis is emailed to you for your decision making whether to buy or sell a stock. Its main feature is the alignment of both fundamental and technical analysis, when these two align a "YES" note is at the end to signify that such criteria is met.



Sunday, March 20, 2011

What is Expert Stock Screener?


Are you a new in the stock trading? Probably you have been introduced to Value investing which focuses on fundamental analysis as well as Momentum trading which requires technical analysis and I guess your head ache with all these analysis right?

Each has merit in your decision making thus you cant just use one analysis over the other. Using the two though would be tedious and it might use a lot of your time that you wont be able to catch the market. 

There is a company that provides a product called Expert Stock Screener

APF Trading is a Singapore based company that provides trading advisory services and products which include Expert Stock Screener. They provide the product into specific market like the PSE(Philippine Stock Exchange), Singapore Stock Exchange,  Bursa Malaysia, Indonesia Stock Exchange, Stock Exchange of Thailand, Hongkong Stock Exchange and India Stock Exchanges.


Below is an introduction from APF Trading's website about Expert Stock Screener:
APF Trading has designed an Equities Screener, which combines BOTH Fundamental and Technical analysis, so investors can easily seek alignment between the 2 approaches, and at one glance zoom in on the most promising stocks. 

Fundamental Analysis Approach: Provides you the potential upside of stocks as indicated by Financial Institutions. 

Technical Analysis Approach: Uses APF Trading's proprietary algorithm which quantifies daily/weekly/monthly chart action, based on the Japanese Ichimoku Trading system and other unique qualifiers.

How does it help you?
Expert Stock Valuations stack odds in your favor
Maximize Profits by zooming in and sorting out stocks with the most upside
Gain Unfair Advantage by quickly understanding smart money flows, without the need to read through 1000s of research reports
Advanced Insight through alignment of both fundamental and technical direction


Check this video to understand how APF Trading combined Fundamental and Technical analysis into Expert Stock Screener:



Interested in APF Trading's Expert Stock Screener

Learn more about Expert Stock Screener click here and make that profitable stock trade right now.

What is Expert Stock Screener?


Are you a new in the stock trading? Probably you have been introduced to Value investing which focuses on fundamental analysis as well as Momentum trading which requires technical analysis and I guess your head ache with all these analysis right?

Each has merit in your decision making thus you cant just use one analysis over the other. Using the two though would be tedious and it might use a lot of your time that you wont be able to catch the market. 

There is a company that provides a product called Expert Stock Screener

APF Trading is a Singapore based company that provides trading advisory services and products which include Expert Stock Screener. They provide the product into specific market like the PSE(Philippine Stock Exchange), Singapore Stock Exchange,  Bursa Malaysia, Indonesia Stock Exchange, Stock Exchange of Thailand, Hongkong Stock Exchange and India Stock Exchanges.


Below is an introduction from APF Trading's website about Expert Stock Screener:
APF Trading has designed an Equities Screener, which combines BOTH Fundamental and Technical analysis, so investors can easily seek alignment between the 2 approaches, and at one glance zoom in on the most promising stocks. 

Fundamental Analysis Approach: Provides you the potential upside of stocks as indicated by Financial Institutions. 

Technical Analysis Approach: Uses APF Trading's proprietary algorithm which quantifies daily/weekly/monthly chart action, based on the Japanese Ichimoku Trading system and other unique qualifiers.

How does it help you?
Expert Stock Valuations stack odds in your favor
Maximize Profits by zooming in and sorting out stocks with the most upside
Gain Unfair Advantage by quickly understanding smart money flows, without the need to read through 1000s of research reports
Advanced Insight through alignment of both fundamental and technical direction


Check this video to understand how APF Trading combined Fundamental and Technical analysis into Expert Stock Screener:



Interested in APF Trading's Expert Stock Screener

Learn more about Expert Stock Screener click here and make that profitable stock trade right now.